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Local News & Opinion
09.25 State Elections Boards Seeks Volunteers to Help Process Unprecedented Number of Voter Applications Travel
Books, Arts & Education
09.18 Reviewing Danny Schechter's "Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity and the Subprime Scandal" Letters
Ref. : Letters to the editor Open Letters:
09.30 To Joe Biden: Time for Confession 09.28 Open Letter to Senator Barack Obama 09.26 Bailout Package Must be Transparent to the American People 09.18 Possible $2 Million Donation to Support Md. Slots Sends Wrong Message Health & Environment
Media Watching
10.10 Ayers = Keating? 10.02 Project Censored's Media Democracy Advocacy 09.23 Satire: Louella Reads the Baltimore Sun 09.22 CBS Cheats on Tax Coverage 09.10 Post's Post-Convention 'Balancing' Act 09.10 McCain/Palin Campaign Relies on Lazy Thinking and Prejudice to Win 09.10 The Rising Cost of the Iraq 'Surge' US Politics, Policy & Culture
10.09 McCain-Palin Put 'Country Last' 10.07 GOP Judges Aid White House Cover-up 10.07 Voting the Fate of the Nation 10.07 Alaska GOP's Last-Ditch Palin Defense 10.07 Election '08: Here Comes the Sludge 10.02 John McCain v. The Truth 10.02 Drinking at the Public Fountain 10.01 Who won the Mississippi debate? Obama—but for different reasons than you think 09.30 The Shadow of the Pitchfork: Elite Panic Attack as Bailout Goes Bust 09.29 The Resurrectionists: Beltway's Big Money Cultists Bail Out the Dead 09.29 We Have the Money 09.27 Debate Evades Dark Realities 09.26 Alaskan Officials Allege Palin Cover-up 09.24 Don’t Worry, Be Happy 09.24 Text of Draft Proposal for Bailout Plan 09.24 Hey, Government! How About Calling on Us? 09.23 Coming Attractions: War Without End, Amen 09.22 The Evolution of John McCain 09.21 Palin's 'Troopergate' Battle Rages 09.19 Burning the First Amendment 09.15 Subverting Democracy Through Electoral Fraud 09.15 Military Industrial Complex 2.0 09.13 Acceptable Sacrifice: For the Right to Endorse 09.13 Why More Soldiers from Alaska? 09.12 Experience is Over-Rated 09.10 Obama Must Call for Palin's Removal from the Ticket 09.10 9/11 Plus Seven 09.10 Palin's Strange Probe of a Trooper 09.10 Dear Democrats: Integrity Won’t Win this Election US High Crimes
10.09 The Surge That Failed 10.08 The Orwellosphere: Anglo-American Drive to 'Total Security State' Rolls On 10.08 Justice for Yemini Sheik 10.06 The Wounded Shark: 'Good War' Lost, But the Imperial Project Goes On 10.02 U.S. Army Troops To Serve As U.S. Policemen? 09.25 Life on the Ledge 09.16 "Awakening" Into Nightmare: Seeding More Sectarian War in Iraq Economics & Business
10.06 Thinking About Treason 10.06 The Fleecing of America 10.03 Can a bailout succeed? 10.02 Empire of Greed 10.02 No Surprise in the Senate Bailout Vote 10.02 How Wall Street Can Bail Itself Out Without Destroying The Dollar 10.02 The Specter of Wall Street 10.01 We Need to Demand Hearings! 09.30 Surprise! Congress Listened to the Voting Public! 09.29 Thinking About Gyrations 09.29 Grand Theft America 09.26 Seizing America by Withholding the Mother’s Milk of Politics 09.26 Framing the $700 Billion Question 09.26 Bail Out NO, Buy Out YES 09.26 Just Say "No" to Any Immediate Bailout 09.26 Has Deregulation Sired Fascism? 09.25 Don't Fuel the Fire: Fire the Arsonists 09.25 America Pays the Piper, Big Time 09.24 Just Thinking Aloud Here 09.23 What Nobody's Saying: The Bailout Will Kill the Dollar 09.22 Thinking About Escalations 09.18 US Economy: Rudderless and Reeling From Direct Hits 09.18 US Economy: Rudderless and Reeling From Direct Hits 09.17 Creative Destruction: The Solid Core Behind the Financial Crisis 09.16 You Can't Feel Blue About the Economy If You Want To. There Are No Blue Chips Anymore 09.15 Thinking About Spotlights 09.15 U.S. Economy—Temporary Respite, Permanent Decline International
10.10 Another Israeli West Bank Land Grab Scheme 09.26 Annals of Liberation: Sex is Death in a Darkened Land 09.25 New Coup D'Etat Rumblings in Venezuela 09.22 Remembering Edward Said Five Years On 09.20 Filter Tips: Distortion and Demonization on the Iran Beat 09.11 Wall Street and Washington We are a non-profit Internet-only newspaper publication founded in 1973. Your donation is essential to our survival.
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ECONOMIC ANALYSIS:Thinking about Truth and IllusionI am totally befuddled by what is happening in the context of my own perceptions of what is reality...versus what “should” be the case based upon my understanding, my studies, and my analysis.
I’ve been thinking about truth and illusion. Actually I've been thinking about what is real, the stock markets, the news, housing, the dollar, Iraq, and Edward Albee's Martha. “Reality” does not seem to be based in truth, but rather it seems to be based in individual (and collective) perceptions. While truth should be a philosophical constant, perceptions are transitory and tend to change over time as new information surfaces. The old adage “time will tell” truly applies.The stock market benchmark averages stumbled over themselves setting new record highs-one after another. But . . . typical news stories headlined Foreclosures Dip, But That Won't Last, Retailers Struggle with Sluggish June, Trade Gap Up on Higher Oil, Trade Deficit Widened as Expected in May, Forecast: Housing Slump Not Going Away Soon, Bernanke Says Inflation Expectations Still Remain 'Imperfectly Anchored', U.S. Housing Sales Seen Tumbling to Six-Year Low on Rates, Defaults, Refinery woes push up Midwest gas prices, Oil surges to new 11-month high above $77, Dow Soars to Record Highs, Mortgage Demand Climbs in Spite of Rising Interest Rates, Buying American? It's not in the bag, Consumer Borrowing Jumps in May. Once again many of the explanations given by mainstream pundits were a ludicrous grasping at straws and bore no real cause to effect relationship. While Wal-Mart may shown a recent 2% increase in comparable (same store) sales over a year ago, most retailers saw their sales decline. Consumer confidence was anything but rosy. If you factor-in only a 3% inflation rate over the 12 month period even the super-seller behemoth Walmart's sales were down. Housing stagnation was a central theme as rating agencies downgraded scores of the mortgage backed securities, CDO's, and Real Estate Investment Trust vehicles. The problem here is “knowing” what adjustment to book value should be. Since any house is only worth what someone will pay for it, how do you mark-it-to-market when few are buying what homes are being offered. Each day more come onto the market-be they offered by owners or the lenders. The US Dollar continued its slide South in its relative valuation to other world currencies. This is theoretically confusing as other fiat currencies are being “printed” at a higher % rate than the Buck. But since there are already Mega TRILLIONS of dollars out there, the qualified, or relative %, increases of other currencies are by default (no pun intended) bigger. The dollar was further shaken last week when Iran (who provides a significant share of Japan's energy imports) requested that the Japanese henceforth pay for their purchases in Yen-not in US Dollars. Iraq made the news, but not for what was actually happening with the troops in the Middle East. The headlines focused on the growing list of senior Republican Congressmen and Senators who were “defecting” to the growing “its time to cut our losses, and set a timetable to get out” camp on Capitol Hill. An interim report on progress since the SURGE began cited minimal progress in only 8 of the 18 criteria areas. (And . . . 478 more US troops were killed.) Bush called a special press conference to solidify support for his “no change in policy” until General Petraeus reports on September 15. It didn't work as Senator Warner and Senator Lugar “defected” the next day. Even Iraqi Prime Minister Al-Malaki said it's time for US/us to get out. Edward Albee's play “Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?” deals with four individuals who try to come to grips with what is real in their world(s). Each one deceives themselves in a comfortable/ lapsed-into fantasyland. The Martha character summed things up by finally confronting her husband at the turning point in the play with the words: “Truth or illusion, George (you should insert/substitute “America” here), doesn't it make any difference to you at all?” I'm Fred Cederholm and I've been thinking. You should be thinking, too. Copyright 2007 Questions, Inc. All rights reserved. Fred Cederholm is a CPA/CFE, a forensic accountant, and writer. He is a graduate of the University of Illinois (B.A., M.A. and M.A.S.). He can be reached at asklet@rochelle.net.
Bonus links: Copyright © 2007 The Baltimore Chronicle. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Baltimore Chronicle content is expressly prohibited without their prior written consent. This story was published on July 16, 2007. |
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